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PRMIA 8007 Exam Syllabus Topics:

SectionObjectives
Topic 1: Probability and Statistics Foundations- Random variables and probability distributions
  • 1. Discrete and continuous distributions
    • 2. Expectation, variance, and moments
      - Statistical inference
      • 1. Confidence intervals and hypothesis testing
        • 2. Estimation theory
          Topic 2: Stochastic Processes and Time Series- Time series analysis
          • 1. AR, MA, and ARMA models
            • 2. Autocorrelation and stationarity
              - Stochastic processes basics
              • 1. Markov processes
                • 2. Brownian motion (introductory level)
                  Topic 3: Simulation and Numerical Methods- Monte Carlo simulation
                  • 1. Risk distribution simulation
                    • 2. Random number generation
                      Topic 4: Risk Measurement Techniques- Value at Risk (VaR)
                      • 1. Historical simulation approach
                        • 2. Parametric and non-parametric VaR
                          - Volatility and correlation
                          • 1. Correlation estimation techniques
                            • 2. Variance-covariance methods

                              PRMIA Exam II: Mathematical Foundations of Risk Measurement - 2015 Edition Sample Questions:

                              You invest $100 000 for 3 years at a continuously compounded rate of 3%. At the end of 3 years, you redeem the investment. Taxes of 22% are applied at the time of redemption. What is your approximate after-tax profit from the investment, rounded to $10?

                              • A. $7100
                              • B. $9420
                              • C. $7350
                              • D. $7230
                              Reveal Solution  Discussion  0

                              Correct Answer: C  🗳️

                              The Newton-Raphson method

                              • A. does provide an error bound along with every iteration
                              • B. is based on finding a middle point between left and right end of the search interval
                              • C. can be used for continuous but not differentiable functions
                              • D. is based on Taylor series and uses the first derivative
                              Reveal Solution  Discussion  0

                              Correct Answer: D  🗳️

                              The quarterly compounded rate of return is 6% per annum. What is the corresponding effective annual return?

                              • A. 6.14%
                              • B. None of the above
                              • C. 1.50%
                              • D. 6%
                              Reveal Solution  Discussion  0

                              Correct Answer: A  🗳️

                              In a quadratic Taylor approximation, a function is approximated by:

                              • A. a parabola
                              • B. a constant
                              • C. a cubic polynomial
                              • D. a straight line
                              Reveal Solution  Discussion  0

                              Correct Answer: A  🗳️

                              On average, one trade fails every 10 days. What is the probability that no trade will fail tomorrow?

                              • A. 0.905
                              • B. 0.100
                              • C. 0.95
                              • D. 0.095
                              Reveal Solution  Discussion  0

                              Correct Answer: A  🗳️

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